FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
5-1 | Road
76
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
6-1 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
LIONS
0%
OWLS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)
FAU By 1-7 points
4.0%
FAU By 8-14 points
0.8%
LMU By 1-7 points
13.7%
LMU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
66
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Loyola Marymount
82
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Loyola Marymount
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
FAU @ LMU
76 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.2% more
Loyola Marymount: 12.7
vs
Florida Atlantic: 11.1
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Loyola Marymount: 15.7
vs
Florida Atlantic: 14.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Loyola Marymount: 41.2%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 34.2%
Blocks (L5)
+47.4% more
Florida Atlantic: 6.8
vs
Loyola Marymount: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
66.0
76
LMU Score
82.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.2 / 34.2
40.0 / 37.0
Assists
15.7 / 14.2
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 6.8
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 48.3
40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
59.6 / 73.8
75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 37.5
29.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.2
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.1
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
LMU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
FAU
LMU
FAU
ML
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
ATS
47%
15-17
70%
23-10
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
TTL
62%
20-12
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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