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CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

3-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 2:00 PM ET
Michelob ULTRA Arena
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

6-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
BLUEJAYS --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Iowa State)
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

15.9%

Cyclones Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

CREI By 1-7 points

10.7%

CREI By 8-14 points

3.3%

ISU By 1-7 points

23.0%

ISU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
CREIGHTON
87
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
70
CREIGHTON
75
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 CREI @ ISU 60 - 78
Dec 4, 2021 ISU @ CREI 64 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +49.0% more
Iowa State: 9.0 vs Creighton: 6.1
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Iowa State: 51.0% vs Creighton: 45.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Iowa State: 36.2% vs Creighton: 31.7%
Blocks (L5) +21.0% more
Creighton: 2.9 vs Iowa State: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 77.0 60
ISU Score 87.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 31.7 36.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.1 / 15.3 15.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.9 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 45.5 49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 74.9 64.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 37.4 39.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.0 / 6.1 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 12.1 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
CREI
ISU
CREI
ML
57% 21-16
52% 17-16
76% 26-8
70% 21-9
ATS
62% 23-14
58% 19-14
76% 26-8
70% 21-9
TTL
54% 20-17
52% 17-16
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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