MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
6-0 | Road
82
UNC GREENSBORO
SPARTANSUNCG
1-7 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCG -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)
M-OH By 1-7 points
9.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
2.7%
UNCG By 1-7 points
21.6%
UNCG By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
54
MIAMI (OH)
UNC Greensboro
65
UNC GREENSBORO
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
68
MIAMI (OH)
UNC Greensboro
71
UNC GREENSBORO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
M-OH @ UNCG
82 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.0% more
Miami (OH): 3.9
vs
UNC Greensboro: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+45.3% more
Miami (OH): 17.9
vs
UNC Greensboro: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+19.7% more
Miami (OH): 6.6
vs
UNC Greensboro: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.9%
Miami (OH): 51.7%
vs
UNC Greensboro: 39.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
54.0
82
UNCG Score
65.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 42.7
27.0 / 32.0
Assists
9.8 / 17.9
3.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.9
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 51.7
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 78.6
76.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 37.6
38.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.6
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.7
17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
UNCG
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
UNCG
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3%
Total +/-: +7.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCG
M-OH
UNCG
M-OH
ML
38%
13-21
45%
15-18
71%
24-10
41%
13-19
ATS
44%
15-19
61%
20-13
71%
24-10
41%
13-19
TTL
76%
26-8
61%
20-13
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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