SOUTH FLORIDA
BULLSUSF
3-3 | Road
66
VCU
RAMSVCU
4-2 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
RAMS
0%
BULLS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
USF By 1-7 points
16.9%
USF By 8-14 points
6.8%
VCU By 1-7 points
26.8%
VCU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
South Florida
60
SOUTH FLORIDA
VCU
66
VCU
Simulated Score
South Florida
65
SOUTH FLORIDA
VCU
68
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
USF @ VCU
66 - 78
Mar 24, 2024
VCU @ USF
70 - 65
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USF Score
60.0
66
VCU Score
66.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 34.0
30.0 / 14.0
Assists
17.2 / 16.0
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.5
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 47.0
39.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 72.6
72.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 39.2
47.0 / 39.0
Steals
10.2 / 11.1
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.7
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USF
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USF
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
USF
VCU
USF
ML
72%
26-10
61%
20-13
67%
22-11
52%
16-15
ATS
81%
29-7
61%
20-13
67%
22-11
52%
16-15
TTL
58%
21-15
52%
17-16
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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