IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
4-2 | Road
78
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
MATADORSCSUN
3-3 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
100%
MATADORS
0%
VANDALS
--
MATADORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Cal State Northridge)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUN -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUN)
IDHO By 1-7 points
0.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
0.0%
CSUN By 1-7 points
0.1%
CSUN By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
70
IDAHO
Cal State Northridge
107
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Simulated Score
Idaho
68
IDAHO
Cal State Northridge
72
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Matadors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Matadors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Matadors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Matadors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
IDHO @ CSUN
78 - 64
Nov 9, 2023
CSUN @ IDHO
76 - 73
Dec 19, 2022
IDHO @ CSUN
76 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+44.1% more
Cal State Northridge: 16.2
vs
Idaho: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Cal State Northridge: 47.9%
vs
Idaho: 46.1%
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
Idaho: 6.3
vs
Cal State Northridge: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+10.6% more
Idaho: 2.2
vs
Cal State Northridge: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
70.0
78
CSUN Score
107.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 36.8
13.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.7 / 15.0
8.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.2
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.1
36.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 73.2
68.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
42.3 / 39.4
37.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.3
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 11.3
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
CSUN
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
CSUN
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUN
IDHO
CSUN
IDHO
ML
58%
19-14
56%
20-16
67%
22-11
64%
21-12
ATS
58%
19-14
58%
21-15
67%
22-11
64%
21-12
TTL
58%
19-14
69%
25-11
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
