AI Model Win Probability
WOLF PACK
100%
HUSKIES
0%
WOLF PACK
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
NEV By 1-7 points
13.7%
NEV By 8-14 points
4.8%
WASH By 1-7 points
25.3%
WASH By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Nevada
49
NEVADA
Washington
57
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Nevada
75
NEVADA
Washington
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
NEV @ WASH
66 - 83
Nov 9, 2024
WASH @ NEV
53 - 63
Nov 12, 2023
NEV @ WASH
83 - 76
Nov 24, 2021
NEV @ WASH
81 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.3% more
Washington: 5.8
vs
Nevada: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Washington: 41.8
vs
Nevada: 36.3
Assists (L5)
+21.6% more
Nevada: 14.5
vs
Washington: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+17.9% more
Nevada: 8.5
vs
Washington: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEV Score
49.0
66
WASH Score
57.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 34.8
57.0 / 43.0
Assists
11.4 / 14.5
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 43.5
44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 79.0
75.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 36.3
44.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.5
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 12.0
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEV
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEV
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2%
Total +/-: +2.7
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
NEV
WASH
NEV
ML
45%
15-18
62%
23-14
66%
21-11
73%
27-10
ATS
48%
16-17
73%
27-10
66%
21-11
73%
27-10
TTL
70%
23-10
49%
18-19
100%
32-0
100%
37-0