Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Wildcats OKST @ NU

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

7-0  |  Road

86
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 10:51 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

5-2  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
COWBOYS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Northwestern)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 WildcatsNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

0.1%

Wildcats Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)

OKST By 1-7 points

0.1%

OKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

NU By 1-7 points

1.1%

NU By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
62
OKLAHOMA STATE
92
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
68
OKLAHOMA STATE
72
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 OKST @ NU 86 - 81
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Northwestern: 44.2% vs Oklahoma State: 37.7%
Turnovers (L5) +42.2% more
Oklahoma State: 15.7 vs Northwestern: 9.1
Steals (L5) +34.6% more
Oklahoma State: 9.6 vs Northwestern: 6.3
Rebounding (L5) +26.7% more
Oklahoma State: 40.0 vs Northwestern: 29.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 62.0 86
NU Score 92.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.2 / 37.7 17.0 / 27.0
Assists 18.3 / 17.4 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 52.7 / 51.6 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 77.5 73.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 29.3 / 40.0 31.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.3 / 9.6 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 15.7 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
NU
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
NU Advantage
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
OKST
NU
OKST
ML
47% 16-18
60% 21-14
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
ATS
50% 17-17
57% 20-15
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
TTL
53% 18-16
57% 20-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 54 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 12 hours, 37 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Oregon Ducks NFL Quarterbacks Hit Rough Patch: Mariota Injured, …
headtopics 3 days, 20 hours ago