Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Eagles HCU @ GASO

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

4-3  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 2:00 PM ET
Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

4-5  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
HUSKIES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Georgia Southern)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 EaglesGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

6.7%

Eagles Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

HCU By 1-7 points

4.8%

HCU By 8-14 points

1.1%

GASO By 1-7 points

15.3%

GASO By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
55
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
70
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
78
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 HCU @ GASO 62 - 80
Nov 19, 2022 GASO @ HCU 84 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Georgia Southern: 13.0 vs Houston Christian: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +12.3% more
Georgia Southern: 36.0 vs Houston Christian: 32.1
Free Throw % (L5) +12.1%
Georgia Southern: 70.7% vs Houston Christian: 58.6%
Steals (L5) +11.2% more
Georgia Southern: 8.4 vs Houston Christian: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 55.0 62
GASO Score 70.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 32.4 40.0 / 29.0
Assists 9.3 / 14.4 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 36.4 / 48.4 48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 58.6 56.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 32.1 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.6 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 11.2 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
GASO Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
HCU
GASO
HCU
ML
56% 20-16
68% 21-10
58% 19-14
81% 25-6
ATS
64% 23-13
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
81% 26-6
TTL
61% 22-14
68% 21-10
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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