AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
OSPREYS
0%
EAGLES
--
OSPREYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
NORTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (North Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNF -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNF)
TCJ By 1-7 points
0.0%
TCJ By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNF By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNF By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Trinity College of Jacksonville
35
TRINITY COLLEGE OF JACKSONVILLE
North Florida
76
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Trinity College of Jacksonville
48
TRINITY COLLEGE OF JACKSONVILLE
North Florida
95
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ospreys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ospreys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ospreys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Ospreys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
TCJ @ UNF
67 - 111
Dec 16, 2023
TCJ @ UNF
72 - 113
Nov 29, 2022
TCJ @ UNF
49 - 90
Dec 18, 2021
TCJ @ UNF
44 - 92
Nov 18, 2019
TCJ @ UNF
39 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+85.7% more
North Florida: 17.2
vs
Trinity College of Jacksonville: 9.3
Blocks (L5)
+45.0% more
North Florida: 2.2
vs
Trinity College of Jacksonville: 1.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+18.3%
North Florida: 42.4%
vs
Trinity College of Jacksonville: 24.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+17.4%
North Florida: 51.3%
vs
Trinity College of Jacksonville: 34.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TCJ Score
35.0
67
UNF Score
76.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.4 / 24.1
38.0 / 30.0
Assists
17.2 / 9.3
22.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 34.0
51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 74.1
79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 36.4
42.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.7
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 18.7
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TCJ
--
UNF
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TCJ
--
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TCJ
--
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
TCJ
UNF
TCJ
ML
69%
22-10
100%
3-0
66%
21-11
100%
3-0
ATS
69%
22-10
100%
3-0
66%
21-11
100%
3-0
TTL
66%
21-11
67%
2-1
100%
32-0
100%
3-0