UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
2-6 | Road
68
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
6-2 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
RAMS
0%
GREAT DANES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
UALB By 1-7 points
3.3%
UALB By 8-14 points
0.6%
FOR By 1-7 points
12.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Fordham
85
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
UALB @ FOR
68 - 88
Dec 21, 2024
UALB @ FOR
83 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.5% more
Fordham: 18.9
vs
UAlbany: 14.3
Rebounding (L5)
+24.7% more
Fordham: 41.8
vs
UAlbany: 33.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.9%
Fordham: 58.7%
vs
UAlbany: 52.8%
Steals (L5)
+15.0% more
UAlbany: 8.4
vs
Fordham: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
68.0
68
FOR Score
85.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 36.9
48.0 / 22.0
Assists
18.9 / 14.3
18.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 50.7
60.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
58.7 / 52.8
67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 33.5
35.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.4
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.6
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
UALB
FOR
UALB
ML
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
71%
22-9
ATS
59%
19-13
77%
24-7
59%
19-13
72%
23-9
TTL
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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