AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
BEARCATS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Binghamton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BING -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)
LEH By 1-7 points
9.3%
LEH By 8-14 points
2.7%
BING By 1-7 points
21.6%
BING By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
48
LEHIGH
Binghamton
59
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
Lehigh
73
LEHIGH
Binghamton
68
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bearcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
LEH @ BING
71 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+15.9% more
Binghamton: 13.8
vs
Lehigh: 11.9
Rebounding (L5)
+14.2% more
Binghamton: 32.9
vs
Lehigh: 28.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Binghamton: 76.5%
vs
Lehigh: 67.2%
Steals (L5)
+22.2% more
Lehigh: 6.4
vs
Binghamton: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
48.0
71
BING Score
59.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
22.6 / 37.9
40.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.9
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.8
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 44.0
59.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 67.2
67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 28.8
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.4
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 11.9
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BING
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BING
14-13-0
(51.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4%
Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
LEH
BING
LEH
ML
67%
20-10
56%
19-15
57%
17-13
68%
23-11
ATS
73%
22-8
56%
19-15
57%
17-13
68%
23-11
TTL
70%
21-9
76%
26-8
100%
30-0
100%
34-0