Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Warriors @ Owls SWES @ KENN

SOUTHERN WESLEYAN

WARRIORSSWES

0-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Dec 8 • 12:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

8-2  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
50%
📊
OWLS
50%
WARRIORS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Southern Wesleyan)
WarriorsSWES (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

54.0%

Owls Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SWES -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SWES)

SWES By 1-7 points

26.2%

SWES By 8-14 points

16.9%

KENN By 1-7 points

24.3%

KENN By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
65
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
64
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
58
SOUTHERN WESLEYAN
92
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 129
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim o0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2025 SWES @ KENN 66 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +181.8% more
Kennesaw State: 5.3 vs Southern Wesleyan: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +47.6% more
Kennesaw State: 47.2 vs Southern Wesleyan: 32.0
Assists (L5) +43.3% more
Kennesaw State: 14.2 vs Southern Wesleyan: 9.9
Turnovers (L5) +20.7% more
Kennesaw State: 15.1 vs Southern Wesleyan: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SWES Score 65.0 66
KENN Score 64.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 27.3 43.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.2 / 9.9 21.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.3 / 1.9 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 39.0 57.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 57.2 73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 47.2 / 32.0 45.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.9 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 12.5 7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SWES
--
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SWES
--
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SWES
--
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
SWES
KENN
SWES
ML
74% 25-9
-- 0-0
72% 23-9
-- 0-0
ATS
71% 24-10
-- 0-0
73% 24-9
100% 2-0
TTL
56% 19-15
-- 0-0
100% 33-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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