FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
5-4 | Road
73
UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
9-1 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
GATORS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
FLA By 1-7 points
2.2%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.4%
CONN By 1-7 points
9.3%
CONN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
57
FLORIDA
UConn
76
UCONN
Simulated Score
Florida
70
FLORIDA
UConn
78
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
FLA @ CONN
73 - 77
Mar 23, 2025
CONN @ FLA
75 - 77
Dec 7, 2022
CONN @ FLA
75 - 54
Nov 17, 2019
FLA @ CONN
59 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.2% more
UConn: 5.1
vs
Florida: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
UConn: 16.4
vs
Florida: 12.2
Steals (L5)
+29.3% more
UConn: 6.7
vs
Florida: 5.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
UConn: 46.7%
vs
Florida: 41.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
57.0
73
CONN Score
76.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 29.4
44.0 / 27.0
Assists
16.4 / 12.2
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.6
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 41.3
50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 76.3
69.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 43.9
28.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.2
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 13.2
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
FLA
CONN
FLA
ML
76%
29-9
77%
27-8
66%
23-12
63%
22-13
ATS
74%
28-10
69%
24-11
66%
23-12
63%
22-13
TTL
50%
19-19
63%
22-13
100%
35-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
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