OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
7-3 | Road
85
OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
9-1 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
SOONERS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Oklahoma State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)
OU By 1-7 points
0.3%
OU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OKST By 1-7 points
2.2%
OKST By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma State
102
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
71
OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma State
75
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
OU @ OKST
85 - 76
Dec 14, 2024
OKST @ OU
65 - 80
Feb 24, 2024
OU @ OKST
84 - 82
Feb 10, 2024
OKST @ OU
62 - 66
Mar 8, 2023
OU @ OKST
49 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.4% more
Oklahoma State: 13.5
vs
Oklahoma: 10.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Oklahoma State: 52.6%
vs
Oklahoma: 42.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Oklahoma State: 73.5%
vs
Oklahoma: 69.3%
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Oklahoma: 3.0
vs
Oklahoma State: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
75.0
85
OKST Score
102.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 32.1
31.0 / 39.0
Assists
16.6 / 15.9
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
52.6 / 42.4
38.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 69.3
81.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 38.4
36.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.7
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 10.5
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
OKST
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
OU
OKST
OU
ML
60%
21-14
78%
28-8
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
ATS
57%
20-15
72%
26-10
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
TTL
57%
20-15
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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