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GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

8-4  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 2:52 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

6-4  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
📊
GATORS
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
GATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Florida)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 GatorsFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

30.9%

Gators Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

GW By 1-7 points

18.6%

GW By 8-14 points

8.0%

FLA By 1-7 points

27.2%

FLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
82
GEORGE WASHINGTON
87
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
75
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gators Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gators (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Gators (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 GW @ FLA 70 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Florida: 42.6 vs George Washington: 36.1
Turnovers (L5) +11.5% more
Florida: 12.8 vs George Washington: 11.5
Steals (L5) +46.1% more
George Washington: 8.3 vs Florida: 4.5
Assists (L5) +21.9% more
George Washington: 16.4 vs Florida: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 82.0 70
FLA Score 87.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 30.9 22.0 / 35.0
Assists 12.8 / 16.4 19.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.7 / 4.8 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 43.3 50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 74.0 61.0 / 37.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 36.1 43.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.5 / 8.3 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.5 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
FLA Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
GW
FLA
GW
ML
77% 27-8
63% 22-13
63% 22-13
60% 21-14
ATS
69% 24-11
69% 24-11
63% 22-13
60% 21-14
TTL
63% 22-13
60% 21-14
100% 35-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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