Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountaineers @ Buckeyes WVU @ OSU

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

8-4  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

8-2  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
📊
BUCKEYES
0%
MOUNTAINEERS --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ohio State)
MountaineersWVU (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountaineers Cover

46.0%

Buckeyes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

WVU By 1-7 points

24.3%

WVU By 8-14 points

13.7%

OSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

OSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
WEST VIRGINIA
39
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
68
WEST VIRGINIA
72
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 WVU @ OSU 88 - 89
Dec 30, 2023 WVU @ OSU 75 - 78
Dec 29, 2019 WVU @ OSU 67 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.8%
Ohio State: 73.7% vs West Virginia: 63.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Ohio State: 50.0% vs West Virginia: 47.7%
Steals (L5) +41.1% more
West Virginia: 7.7 vs Ohio State: 4.5
Blocks (L5) +29.8% more
West Virginia: 3.0 vs Ohio State: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WVU Score 38.0 88
OSU Score 39.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 35.5 19.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.5 / 16.3 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.0 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 47.7 44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 63.9 84.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 39.7 42.0 / 42.0
Steals 4.5 / 7.7 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 11.3 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WVU
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WVU
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
OSU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
WVU
OSU
WVU
ML
53% 18-16
63% 22-13
73% 24-9
76% 26-8
ATS
59% 20-14
60% 21-14
73% 24-9
76% 26-8
TTL
56% 19-15
40% 14-21
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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