Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Wildcats STO @ UNH

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

3-8  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 6:00 PM ET
Lundholm Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

NEW HAMPSHIRE

WILDCATSUNH

3-7  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
SKYHAWKS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
89.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Stonehill)
SkyhawksSTO (-3.5) 0 WildcatsUNH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

97.1%

Wildcats Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STO -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)

STO By 1-7 points

9.3%

STO By 8-14 points

20.1%

UNH By 1-7 points

2.2%

UNH By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
54
STONEHILL
35
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
65
STONEHILL
72
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Skyhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Skyhawks (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 89.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 STO @ UNH 58 - 59
Dec 22, 2024 UNH @ STO 83 - 90
Dec 11, 2023 STO @ UNH 62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +45.9% more
Stonehill: 15.2 vs New Hampshire: 8.2
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
Stonehill: 12.0 vs New Hampshire: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
Stonehill: 36.1% vs New Hampshire: 28.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Stonehill: 45.5% vs New Hampshire: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STO Score 54.0 58
UNH Score 35.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 36.1 38.0 / 20.0
Assists 8.2 / 15.2 8.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.3 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 45.5 34.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 69.7 65.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 39.9 32.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.3 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.0 9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
UNH
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO Advantage
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
UNH
12-16-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
STO
UNH
STO
ML
70% 19-8
45% 15-18
74% 20-7
70% 23-10
ATS
67% 18-9
39% 13-20
74% 20-7
70% 23-10
TTL
59% 16-11
55% 18-15
100% 27-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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