Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Demon Deacons LONG @ WAKE

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

6-6  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

8-3  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
0%
LANCERS --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wake Forest)
LancersLONG (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

46.0%

Demon Deacons Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

LONG By 1-7 points

24.3%

LONG By 8-14 points

13.7%

WAKE By 1-7 points

26.2%

WAKE By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
LONGWOOD
39
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
64
LONGWOOD
78
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 LONG @ WAKE 68 - 71
Nov 27, 2020 LONG @ WAKE 60 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +32.3% more
Wake Forest: 18.2 vs Longwood: 13.7
Steals (L5) +29.9% more
Wake Forest: 9.4 vs Longwood: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Wake Forest: 40.3% vs Longwood: 31.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Wake Forest: 51.8% vs Longwood: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LONG Score 38.0 68
WAKE Score 39.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 31.9 21.0 / 26.0
Assists 18.2 / 13.7 9.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.8 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.8 / 49.6 41.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 79.3 73.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 35.4 35.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.4 / 7.2 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 14.9 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
WAKE Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
WAKE Advantage
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
LONG
WAKE
LONG
ML
49% 17-18
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
ATS
66% 23-12
68% 21-10
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
TTL
60% 21-14
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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