QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
8-3 | Road
85
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
5-6 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
HAWKS
100%
BOBCATS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
QUIN By 1-7 points
0.6%
QUIN By 8-14 points
3.3%
MONM By 1-7 points
0.1%
MONM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
89
QUINNIPIAC
Monmouth
57
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Monmouth
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
QUIN @ MONM
85 - 75
Mar 3, 2022
QUIN @ MONM
72 - 75
Feb 6, 2022
MONM @ QUIN
76 - 63
Jan 16, 2021
QUIN @ MONM
63 - 70
Jan 15, 2021
QUIN @ MONM
80 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.7% more
Quinnipiac: 11.0
vs
Monmouth: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+23.1% more
Quinnipiac: 4.8
vs
Monmouth: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Quinnipiac: 36.9
vs
Monmouth: 33.1
Turnovers (L5)
+10.1% more
Quinnipiac: 10.2
vs
Monmouth: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
89.0
85
MONM Score
57.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 34.4
27.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.1 / 14.4
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.8
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 44.4
43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 69.4
86.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 36.9
33.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 11.0
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 10.2
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
QUIN
MONM
QUIN
ML
62%
21-13
66%
21-11
64%
21-12
53%
17-15
ATS
62%
21-13
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
53%
17-15
TTL
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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