Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Saints @ Catamounts SIE @ UVM

SIENA

SAINTSSIE

9-2  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Patrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

7-5  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
📊
CATAMOUNTS
0%
SAINTS --
CATAMOUNTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vermont)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 CatamountsUVM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

46.0%

Catamounts Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)

SIE By 1-7 points

24.3%

SIE By 8-14 points

13.7%

UVM By 1-7 points

26.2%

UVM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
39
SIENA
40
VERMONT
Simulated Score
63
SIENA
75
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Catamounts Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Catamounts Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Catamounts (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Catamounts (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 SIE @ UVM 69 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
Vermont: 75.3% vs Siena: 66.4%
Blocks (L5) +70.2% more
Siena: 5.3 vs Vermont: 1.6
Steals (L5) +21.3% more
Siena: 6.2 vs Vermont: 4.9
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Siena: 14.9 vs Vermont: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 39.0 69
UVM Score 40.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.7 / 30.8 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.9 / 14.9 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.6 / 5.3 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 47.2 53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 66.4 80.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 36.5 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.9 / 6.2 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 9.7 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
UVM
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
SIE
UVM
SIE
ML
56% 19-15
66% 23-12
65% 22-12
48% 16-17
ATS
62% 21-13
66% 23-12
65% 22-12
48% 16-17
TTL
47% 16-18
54% 19-16
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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