MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
4-11 | Road
64
WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
3-6 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
SEAHAWKS
0%
HAWKS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wagner)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)
UMES By 1-7 points
24.3%
UMES By 8-14 points
13.7%
WAG By 1-7 points
26.2%
WAG By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
38
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Wagner
39
WAGNER
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
63
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Wagner
68
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
UMES @ WAG
64 - 78
Dec 8, 2024
WAG @ UMES
63 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.8% more
Wagner: 3.6
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+47.2% more
Wagner: 48.2
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.7
Turnovers (L5)
+36.2% more
Wagner: 17.6
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.9
Steals (L5)
+17.6% more
Wagner: 6.2
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
38.0
64
WAG Score
39.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 25.4
38.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.7 / 14.9
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.2
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 44.6
47.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 69.7
61.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
48.2 / 32.7
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.3
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 12.9
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
UMES
WAG
UMES
ML
63%
19-11
66%
21-11
57%
17-13
81%
21-5
ATS
60%
18-12
69%
22-10
57%
17-13
81%
21-5
TTL
53%
16-14
66%
21-11
100%
30-0
100%
26-0
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