JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
5-6 | Road
65
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
1-5 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
RATTLERS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Florida A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAMU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)
JAX By 1-7 points
0.1%
JAX By 8-14 points
0.0%
FAMU By 1-7 points
0.6%
FAMU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville
57
JACKSONVILLE
Florida A&M
89
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Jacksonville
66
JACKSONVILLE
Florida A&M
71
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rattlers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rattlers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rattlers (+44.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Rattlers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
JAX @ FAMU
65 - 72
Dec 2, 2025
FAMU @ JAX
82 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.9% more
Florida A&M: 17.3
vs
Jacksonville: 14.4
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
Jacksonville: 17.6
vs
Florida A&M: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.7%
Jacksonville: 73.2%
vs
Florida A&M: 57.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Jacksonville: 37.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 31.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JAX Score
57.0
65
FAMU Score
89.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 37.0
31.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.3 / 17.6
8.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.3
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 46.9
49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
57.5 / 73.2
59.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 36.3
32.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.1
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
17.3 / 14.4
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
JAX
FAMU
JAX
ML
55%
16-13
74%
23-8
71%
17-7
60%
18-12
ATS
48%
14-15
65%
20-11
71%
17-7
61%
19-12
TTL
76%
22-7
65%
20-11
100%
24-0
100%
31-0
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