UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
3-9 | Road
71
STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
8-3 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
SEAWOLVES
0%
GREAT DANES
--
SEAWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
UALB By 1-7 points
24.3%
UALB By 8-14 points
13.7%
STBK By 1-7 points
26.2%
STBK By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
39
UALBANY
Stony Brook
40
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
UAlbany
70
UALBANY
Stony Brook
73
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seawolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Seawolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 17, 2025
UALB @ STBK
71 - 55
Dec 29, 2024
STBK @ UALB
70 - 77
Feb 26, 2022
UALB @ STBK
50 - 66
Jan 22, 2022
STBK @ UALB
86 - 75
Feb 21, 2021
STBK @ UALB
59 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+30.1% more
Stony Brook: 14.7
vs
UAlbany: 11.3
Blocks (L5)
+27.0% more
Stony Brook: 4.0
vs
UAlbany: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
Stony Brook: 38.2
vs
UAlbany: 31.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.4%
Stony Brook: 73.1%
vs
UAlbany: 56.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
39.0
71
STBK Score
40.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.8 / 35.5
24.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.6
12.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.2
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 46.3
33.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 56.8
69.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 31.9
30.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.7
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 11.3
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
UALB
STBK
UALB
ML
61%
19-12
55%
17-14
71%
22-9
71%
22-9
ATS
61%
19-12
77%
24-7
71%
22-9
72%
23-9
TTL
65%
20-11
61%
19-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
