Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Colonels HCU @ NICH

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

5-6  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 7:30 PM ET
David R. Stopher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

2-7  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
COLONELS
100%
HUSKIES --
COLONELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Houston Christian)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 ColonelsNICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

100.0%

Colonels Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)

HCU By 1-7 points

0.5%

HCU By 8-14 points

2.7%

NICH By 1-7 points

0.0%

NICH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
71
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
38
NICHOLLS
Simulated Score
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
82
NICHOLLS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Colonels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 NICH @ HCU 68 - 72
Dec 17, 2025 HCU @ NICH 64 - 79
Feb 3, 2025 HCU @ NICH 67 - 75
Feb 3, 2024 HCU @ NICH 73 - 83
Jan 6, 2024 NICH @ HCU 98 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.2% more
Houston Christian: 2.7 vs Nicholls: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Houston Christian: 71.6% vs Nicholls: 69.3%
Steals (L5) +130.7% more
Nicholls: 12.5 vs Houston Christian: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +17.5% more
Nicholls: 37.9 vs Houston Christian: 32.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 71.0 64
NICH Score 38.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.7 / 36.5 31.0 / 22.0
Assists 16.3 / 16.3 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 2.7 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 44.3 48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 71.6 73.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 32.2 30.0 / 31.0
Steals 12.5 / 5.4 11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.5 7.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
NICH Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
NICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NICH
HCU
NICH
HCU
ML
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
68% 19-9
81% 25-6
ATS
47% 15-17
58% 18-13
68% 19-9
81% 26-6
TTL
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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