Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Wolverines WEB @ UVU

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

5-5  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 8:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

8-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
WILDCATS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah Valley)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Wolverines Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

WEB By 1-7 points

24.3%

WEB By 8-14 points

13.7%

UVU By 1-7 points

26.2%

UVU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
39
WEBER STATE
40
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
70
WEBER STATE
75
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 WEB @ UVU 74 - 90
Dec 21, 2024 UVU @ WEB 64 - 62
Dec 5, 2023 WEB @ UVU 54 - 70
Jan 2, 2021 UVU @ WEB 62 - 70
Dec 4, 2019 WEB @ UVU 72 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +117.5% more
Utah Valley: 5.5 vs Weber State: 2.5
Assists (L5) +31.6% more
Utah Valley: 17.8 vs Weber State: 13.5
Steals (L5) +26.6% more
Utah Valley: 10.7 vs Weber State: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5) +11.5%
Utah Valley: 75.0% vs Weber State: 63.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 39.0 74
UVU Score 40.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 31.6 41.0 / 31.0
Assists 17.8 / 13.5 23.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.5 / 2.5 10.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 45.5 59.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 63.5 76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 38.1 35.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.7 / 8.4 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 14.9 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
WEB
UVU
WEB
ML
56% 18-14
73% 22-8
72% 23-9
73% 22-8
ATS
53% 17-15
63% 19-11
74% 25-9
74% 23-8
TTL
44% 14-18
83% 25-5
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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