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LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

3-8  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

DONSSF

6-5  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
📊
DONS
0%
RAMBLERS --
DONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Francisco)
RamblersLUC (-3.5) 0 DonsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ramblers Cover

46.0%

Dons Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LUC By 1-7 points

24.3%

LUC By 8-14 points

13.7%

SF By 1-7 points

26.2%

SF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
39
LOYOLA CHICAGO
40
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
69
LOYOLA CHICAGO
73
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dons (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Dons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 LUC @ SF 71 - 85
Mar 23, 2025 LUC @ SF 77 - 76
Dec 15, 2024 SF @ LUC 76 - 66
Jan 6, 2022 LUC @ SF 79 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.3% more
San Francisco: 4.6 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.3
Steals (L5) +32.2% more
San Francisco: 4.5 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
San Francisco: 67.4% vs Loyola Chicago: 65.0%
Turnovers (L5) +27.8% more
Loyola Chicago: 13.3 vs San Francisco: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LUC Score 39.0 71
SF Score 40.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 30.5 48.0 / 17.0
Assists 13.0 / 15.2 18.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.3 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 42.8 53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 67.4 / 65.0 69.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 37.5 30.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.5 / 3.4 3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 13.3 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
SF Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
SF Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LUC
SF
LUC
ML
39% 13-20
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
ATS
42% 14-19
64% 21-12
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
TTL
73% 24-9
76% 25-8
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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