CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
15-12 | Road
111
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
10-15 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
BULLS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CLE By 1-7 points
3.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.6%
CHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
89
CLEVELAND
Chicago
106
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u242.0
Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim
u242.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.8% more
Chicago: 14.3
vs
Cleveland: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 4.0
vs
Cleveland: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Chicago: 44.6%
vs
Cleveland: 42.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Cleveland: 48.7
vs
Chicago: 42.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
89.0
111
CHI Score
106.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 30.0
39.0 / 31.0
Assists
25.8 / 25.7
35.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 42.5
56.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 82.4
72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 48.7
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.4
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 11.6
16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
56%
54-42
60%
69-46
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
75-37-3
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
68-47
100%
81-0
100%
99-0
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