UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
16-16-3 | Road
4
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
19-12-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.964
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
RED WINGS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
DET @ UTA
1 - 4
Dec 17, 2025
UTA @ DET
4 - 1
Mar 24, 2025
DET @ UTA
5 - 1
Mar 6, 2025
UTA @ DET
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+17.9% more
Utah: 17.9
vs
Detroit: 14.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.2% more
Utah: 27.8
vs
Detroit: 24.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.0%
Utah: 49.2%
vs
Detroit: 47.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+56.3% more
Detroit: 19.4
vs
Utah: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
4
DET Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.4 / 12.4
15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
47.3 / 49.2
53.2 / 46.8
Hits
14.7 / 17.9
11.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
40.7 / 27.1
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 27.8
28.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.2
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
UTA
DET
UTA
ML
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
ATS
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
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