Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Seahawks LAR @ SEA

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

11-3  |  Road

37
FINAL
Thu, Dec 18 • 8:15 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

11-3  |  Home

38
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
SEAHAWKS
100%
RAMS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

61.2%

Seahawks Cover

38.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

17.0%

LAR By 7-13 points

18.0%

SEA By 1-6 points

14.7%

SEA By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
24
LOS ANGELES
20
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
21
LOS ANGELES
24
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o42.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
D
Sim u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 25, 2026 LAR @ SEA 27 - 31
Dec 18, 2025 LAR @ SEA 37 - 38
Nov 16, 2025 SEA @ LAR 19 - 21
Jan 5, 2025 SEA @ LAR 30 - 25
Nov 3, 2024 LAR @ SEA 26 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +37.2% more
Los Angeles: 161.6 vs Seattle: 101.5
First Downs (L5) +30.5% more
Los Angeles: 26.2 vs Seattle: 18.2
Total Yards (L5) +26.1% more
Los Angeles: 445.9 vs Seattle: 329.5
Net Passing Yards (L5) +19.8% more
Los Angeles: 284.3 vs Seattle: 228.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 24.0 37
SEA Score 20.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.2 / 26.2 22.0 / 26.0
Net Passing Yards 228.1 / 284.3 244.0 / 457.0
Rushing Yards 101.5 / 161.6 171.0 / 124.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.36 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.39 / 0.61
Total Yards 329.5 / 445.9 415.0 / 581.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.9 3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.7 / 7.0 6.6 / 6.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAR
SEA
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 1-1-2
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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