NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
8-2 | Road
60
UIC
FLAMESUIC
4-6 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
FLAMES
0%
PANTHERS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
86.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UNI By 1-7 points
1.1%
UNI By 8-14 points
0.1%
UIC By 1-7 points
5.8%
UIC By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Iowa
32
NORTHERN IOWA
UIC
54
UIC
Simulated Score
Northern Iowa
68
NORTHERN IOWA
UIC
74
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 86.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
UNI @ UIC
84 - 69
Jan 13, 2026
UIC @ UNI
69 - 61
Dec 17, 2025
UNI @ UIC
60 - 54
Feb 26, 2025
UIC @ UNI
52 - 74
Dec 4, 2024
UNI @ UIC
83 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.1% more
UIC: 4.6
vs
Northern Iowa: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+32.4% more
UIC: 11.1
vs
Northern Iowa: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.0%
UIC: 84.8%
vs
Northern Iowa: 63.8%
Assists (L5)
+30.5% more
Northern Iowa: 18.7
vs
UIC: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNI Score
32.0
60
UIC Score
54.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 32.1
16.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.0 / 18.7
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.3
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 46.7
37.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
84.8 / 63.8
64.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 36.0
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.7 / 9.4
14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 8.4
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
UNI
UIC
UNI
ML
57%
20-15
51%
18-17
44%
15-19
56%
19-15
ATS
54%
19-16
49%
17-18
44%
15-19
56%
19-15
TTL
60%
21-14
69%
24-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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