Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Buffaloes PRST @ COLO

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

6-3  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 9:00 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

9-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
BUFFALOES
0%
VIKINGS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
VikingsPRST (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

46.0%

Buffaloes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

PRST By 1-7 points

24.3%

PRST By 8-14 points

13.7%

COLO By 1-7 points

26.2%

COLO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
PORTLAND STATE
39
COLORADO
Simulated Score
67
PORTLAND STATE
82
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 PRST @ COLO 73 - 84
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Colorado: 39.6% vs Portland State: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Colorado: 51.6% vs Portland State: 47.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Colorado: 66.8% vs Portland State: 62.7%
Steals (L5) +27.7% more
Portland State: 8.2 vs Colorado: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRST Score 38.0 73
COLO Score 39.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 30.9 30.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.9 / 19.7 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.7 / 5.1 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 47.2 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 62.7 85.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 39.8 35.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.9 / 8.2 12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.4 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
PRST
COLO
PRST
ML
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
ATS
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
TTL
45% 15-18
47% 14-16-1
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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