COASTAL GEORGIA
MARINERCOGA
0-0 | Road
63
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
3-1 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
MARINER
100%
OWLS
0%
MARINER
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
COGA By 1-7 points
0.0%
COGA By 8-14 points
0.0%
FAU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FAU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Georgia
36
COASTAL GEORGIA
Florida Atlantic
86
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
Coastal Georgia
48
COASTAL GEORGIA
Florida Atlantic
95
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
COGA @ FAU
63 - 92
Nov 8, 2024
COGA @ FAU
49 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.7% more
Florida Atlantic: 4.2
vs
Coastal Georgia: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+36.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 13.6
vs
Coastal Georgia: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 36.8
vs
Coastal Georgia: 30.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.1%
Florida Atlantic: 74.4%
vs
Coastal Georgia: 60.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COGA Score
36.0
63
FAU Score
86.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 30.2
26.0 / 48.0
Assists
13.6 / 10.0
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.7
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 34.4
45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 60.3
62.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 30.8
53.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.0 / 7.9
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 21.0
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COGA
--
FAU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COGA
--
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COGA
--
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
COGA
FAU
COGA
ML
64%
21-12
100%
3-0
66%
21-11
100%
3-0
ATS
70%
23-10
100%
3-0
66%
21-11
100%
3-0
TTL
58%
19-14
33%
1-2
100%
32-0
100%
3-0