Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bruins @ Flames CU @ LIB

CAROLINA UNIVERSITY

BRUINSCU

0-0  |  Road

46
FINAL
Mon, Nov 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Liberty Arena (VA)
View Odds Details →

LIBERTY

FLAMESLIB

4-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
BRUINS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Liberty)
BruinsCU (-3.5) 0 FlamesLIB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

15.9%

Flames Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)

CU By 1-7 points

10.7%

CU By 8-14 points

3.3%

LIB By 1-7 points

23.0%

LIB By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
82
CAROLINA UNIVERSITY
92
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
52
CAROLINA UNIVERSITY
88
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2025 CU @ LIB 46 - 98
Nov 12, 2024 CU @ LIB 45 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +150.4% more
Liberty: 3.4 vs Carolina University: 1.4
Assists (L5) +131.5% more
Liberty: 18.0 vs Carolina University: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5) +22.2%
Liberty: 53.4% vs Carolina University: 31.2%
Steals (L5) +18.6% more
Liberty: 6.3 vs Carolina University: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CU Score 82.0 46
LIB Score 92.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.9 / 29.0 43.0 / 22.0
Assists 18.0 / 7.8 24.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.4 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 31.2 60.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 62.9 79.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 27.6 42.0 / 19.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.3 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 22.0 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CU
--
LIB Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CU
--
LIB Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CU
--
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
CU
LIB
CU
ML
50% 17-17
100% 3-0
53% 18-16
100% 3-0
ATS
62% 21-13
100% 3-0
53% 18-16
100% 3-0
TTL
41% 14-20
67% 2-1
100% 34-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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