ANGELO STATE
RAMSANG
0-0 | Road
54
TARLETON STATE
TEXANSTAR
3-3 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
TEXANS
0%
RAMS
--
TEXANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
TARLETON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Tarleton State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TAR -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TAR)
ANG By 1-7 points
0.0%
ANG By 8-14 points
0.0%
TAR By 1-7 points
0.0%
TAR By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Angelo State
48
ANGELO STATE
Tarleton State
98
TARLETON STATE
Simulated Score
Angelo State
68
ANGELO STATE
Tarleton State
72
TARLETON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Texans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Texans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Texans (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Texans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
ANG @ TAR
54 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+53.7% more
Tarleton State: 10.8
vs
Angelo State: 7.0
Steals (L5)
+52.8% more
Tarleton State: 7.6
vs
Angelo State: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+49.8% more
Tarleton State: 16.5
vs
Angelo State: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+43.3% more
Tarleton State: 4.3
vs
Angelo State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANG Score
48.0
54
TAR Score
98.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 27.0
20.0 / 25.0
Assists
10.8 / 7.0
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.0
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 33.0
42.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 80.0
86.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 26.0
43.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.0
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 11.0
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ANG
--
TAR
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ANG
--
TAR
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ANG
--
TAR
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TAR
ANG
TAR
ANG
ML
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
ATS
69%
22-10
100%
1-0
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
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