COE
KOHAWKSCOE
0-0 | Road
63
WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
1-4 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
KOHAWKS
100%
LEATHERNECKS
0%
KOHAWKS
--
LEATHERNECKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Western Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)
COE By 1-7 points
24.3%
COE By 8-14 points
13.7%
WIU By 1-7 points
26.2%
WIU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Coe
104
COE
Western Illinois
105
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Coe
58
COE
Western Illinois
92
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leathernecks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leathernecks (+40.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Leathernecks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
COE @ WIU
63 - 74
Dec 6, 2023
COE @ WIU
58 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+154.0% more
Western Illinois: 2.2
vs
Coe: 0.7
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Western Illinois: 32.5
vs
Coe: 28.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.8%
Western Illinois: 68.5%
vs
Coe: 55.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Western Illinois: 34.0%
vs
Coe: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COE Score
104.0
63
WIU Score
105.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 32.3
39.0 / 37.0
Assists
6.1 / 10.7
9.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.2 / 0.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 41.3
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 55.7
68.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 28.3
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.8 / 5.7
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 15.3
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COE
--
WIU
Advantage
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COE
--
WIU
Advantage
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
COE
--
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIU
COE
WIU
COE
ML
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
ATS
52%
16-15
50%
1-1
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
TTL
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
100%
31-0
100%
2-0