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BETHESDA UNIVERSITY

FLAMESBTHS

0-0  |  Road

56
FINAL
Mon, Nov 17 • 10:00 PM ET
Provident Credit Union Event Center
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

1-3  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
SPARTANS
0%
FLAMES --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (San José State)
FlamesBTHS (-3.5) 0 SpartansSJSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

0.0%

Spartans Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJSU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJSU)

BTHS By 1-7 points

0.0%

BTHS By 8-14 points

0.0%

SJSU By 1-7 points

0.4%

SJSU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
88
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Simulated Score
58
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
92
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2025 BTHS @ SJSU 56 - 110
Nov 9, 2023 BTHS @ SJSU 72 - 117
Nov 12, 2022 BTHS @ SJSU 68 - 90
Jan 8, 2022 BTHS @ SJSU 43 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.3% more
San José State: 9.0 vs Bethesda University: 6.7
Field Goal % (L5) +12.3%
San José State: 42.3% vs Bethesda University: 30.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
San José State: 31.5% vs Bethesda University: 21.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
San José State: 71.5% vs Bethesda University: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score 54.0 56
SJSU Score 88.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 21.1 52.0 / 26.0
Assists 9.0 / 6.7 23.0 / 8.0
Blocks 1.5 / 2.1 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 30.0 65.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 64.7 55.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 29.6 / 27.9 55.0 / 18.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.5 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.8 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
SJSU Advantage
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
SJSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJSU
BTHS
SJSU
BTHS
ML
73% 24-9
100% 7-0
62% 20-12
100% 7-0
ATS
73% 24-9
100% 7-0
62% 20-12
100% 7-0
TTL
61% 20-13
71% 5-2
100% 32-0
100% 7-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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