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JUSTICE COLLEGE

LIONSJUSC

0-0  |  Road

51
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Reed Gym
View Odds Details →

IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

3-3  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
BENGALS
0%
LIONS --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
IDAHO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Idaho State)
LionsJUSC (-3.5) 0 BengalsIDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

0.0%

Bengals Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDST -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDST)

JUSC By 1-7 points

0.0%

JUSC By 8-14 points

0.0%

IDST By 1-7 points

0.0%

IDST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
JUSTICE COLLEGE
121
IDAHO STATE
Simulated Score
45
JUSTICE COLLEGE
88
IDAHO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bengals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bengals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bengals (+18) Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
D
Sim Bengals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 JUSC @ IDST 51 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +85.3% more
Idaho State: 13.0 vs Justice College: 7.0
Steals (L5) +19.6% more
Idaho State: 6.0 vs Justice College: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +17.6% more
Idaho State: 3.1 vs Justice College: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.3%
Idaho State: 29.3% vs Justice College: 17.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JUSC Score 57.0 51
IDST Score 121.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 17.0 21.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.0 / 7.0 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.7 9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 33.3 52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 61.7 81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 30.7 46.0 / 23.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.0 3.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 17.0 4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JUSC
--
IDST Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JUSC
--
IDST Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JUSC
--
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDST
JUSC
IDST
JUSC
ML
59% 19-13
67% 2-1
72% 23-9
100% 3-0
ATS
50% 16-16
67% 2-1
72% 23-9
100% 3-0
TTL
59% 19-13
67% 2-1
100% 32-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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