AI Model Win Probability
BEAVERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BEAVERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Drake)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
BVU By 1-7 points
8.0%
BVU By 8-14 points
2.2%
DRKE By 1-7 points
20.1%
DRKE By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buena Vista
49
BUENA VISTA
Drake
61
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Buena Vista
50
BUENA VISTA
Drake
95
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
BVU @ DRKE
52 - 98
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BVU Score
49.0
52
DRKE Score
61.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 0.0
41.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.2 / 0.0
23.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 0.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 0.0
61.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 0.0
80.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 0.0
42.0 / 18.0
Steals
7.0 / 0.0
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 0.0
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BVU
--
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BVU
--
DRKE
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BVU
--
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
BVU
DRKE
BVU
ML
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
ATS
85%
29-5
100%
1-0
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
TTL
56%
19-15
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0