VERMONT STATE - LYNDON
HORNETSNVERLYND
0-0 | Road
51
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
3-4 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
CHARGERS
0%
HORNETS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
NEW HAVEN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (New Haven)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NHVN -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NHVN)
NVERLYND By 1-7 points
0.0%
NVERLYND By 8-14 points
0.0%
NHVN By 1-7 points
0.1%
NHVN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont State - Lyndon
45
VERMONT STATE - LYNDON
New Haven
85
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Vermont State - Lyndon
65
VERMONT STATE - LYNDON
New Haven
78
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chargers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
NVERLYND @ NHVN
51 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+171.1% more
New Haven: 6.9
vs
Vermont State - Lyndon: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+28.9% more
New Haven: 31.1
vs
Vermont State - Lyndon: 24.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
New Haven: 41.2%
vs
Vermont State - Lyndon: 37.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+41.2% more
Vermont State - Lyndon: 24.9
vs
New Haven: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NVERLYND Score
45.0
51
NHVN Score
85.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.0 / 38.0
39.0 / 33.0
Assists
8.6 / 10.6
32.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.6 / 1.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 37.1
58.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
64.8 / 63.3
47.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 24.1
54.0 / 23.0
Steals
6.9 / 2.6
16.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 24.9
8.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NVERLYND
--
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NVERLYND
--
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NVERLYND
--
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
NVERLYND
NHVN
NVERLYND
ML
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
ATS
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
42%
13-18
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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