Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountaineers @ Bearkats SCHRE @ SHSU

SCHREINER

MOUNTAINEERSSCHRE

0-0  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 3:30 PM ET
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum
View Odds Details →

SAM HOUSTON

BEARKATSSHSU

3-2  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
📊
BEARKATS
0%
MOUNTAINEERS --
BEARKATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Sam Houston)
MountaineersSCHRE (-3.5) 0 BearkatsSHSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountaineers Cover

2.9%

Bearkats Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)

SCHRE By 1-7 points

2.2%

SCHRE By 8-14 points

0.4%

SHSU By 1-7 points

9.3%

SHSU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
63
SCHREINER
82
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
55
SCHREINER
82
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearkats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearkats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearkats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bearkats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 SCHRE @ SHSU 54 - 105
Dec 2, 2021 SCHRE @ SHSU 46 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +101.8% more
Sam Houston: 5.6 vs Schreiner: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +38.9% more
Sam Houston: 37.6 vs Schreiner: 27.1
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
Sam Houston: 11.3 vs Schreiner: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5) +16.9%
Sam Houston: 82.0% vs Schreiner: 65.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCHRE Score 63.0 54
SHSU Score 82.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.0 / 24.1 33.0 / 19.0
Assists 11.3 / 9.0 28.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.6 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 32.0 56.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 82.0 / 65.1 70.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 27.1 64.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.3 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 22.4 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCHRE
--
SHSU Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCHRE
--
SHSU Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SCHRE
--
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
SCHRE
SHSU
SCHRE
ML
55% 18-15
100% 1-0
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
ATS
64% 21-12
100% 1-0
74% 23-8
100% 1-0
TTL
48% 16-17
100% 1-0
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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