AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
FLAMES
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
USI By 1-7 points
10.7%
USI By 8-14 points
3.3%
UIC By 1-7 points
23.0%
UIC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Indiana
61
SOUTHERN INDIANA
UIC
71
UIC
Simulated Score
Southern Indiana
70
SOUTHERN INDIANA
UIC
75
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
USI @ UIC
73 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.1% more
UIC: 15.7
vs
Southern Indiana: 11.9
Steals (L5)
+24.6% more
UIC: 8.0
vs
Southern Indiana: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+23.8% more
UIC: 3.6
vs
Southern Indiana: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.4% more
UIC: 15.2
vs
Southern Indiana: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USI Score
61.0
73
UIC Score
71.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 33.3
29.0 / 20.0
Assists
15.7 / 11.9
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 44.0
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 69.8
85.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 35.1
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.4
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 13.2
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
Advantage
7-23-0
(23.3%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
Advantage
11-16-1
(40.7%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
USI
UIC
USI
ML
57%
20-15
67%
20-10
44%
15-19
61%
17-11
ATS
54%
19-16
70%
21-9
44%
15-19
61%
17-11
TTL
60%
21-14
73%
22-8
100%
34-0
100%
28-0