Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bluejays @ Musketeers CREI @ XAV

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

5-5  |  Road

98
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 6:30 PM ET
Cintas Center
View Odds Details →

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

8-3  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
100%
📊
MUSKETEERS
0%
BLUEJAYS --
MUSKETEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Xavier)
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 MusketeersXAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

46.0%

Musketeers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around XAV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)

CREI By 1-7 points

24.3%

CREI By 8-14 points

13.7%

XAV By 1-7 points

26.2%

XAV By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
39
CREIGHTON
40
XAVIER
Simulated Score
70
CREIGHTON
79
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Musketeers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Musketeers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Musketeers (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Musketeers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 XAV @ CREI 93 - 94
Dec 17, 2025 CREI @ XAV 98 - 57
Mar 1, 2025 CREI @ XAV 61 - 83
Jan 29, 2025 XAV @ CREI 77 - 86
Feb 10, 2024 CREI @ XAV 78 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +81.6% more
Xavier: 6.8 vs Creighton: 3.7
Assists (L5) +39.3% more
Xavier: 21.2 vs Creighton: 15.2
Blocks (L5) +17.8% more
Xavier: 5.2 vs Creighton: 4.5
Rebounding (L5) +8.6% more
Xavier: 38.1 vs Creighton: 35.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 39.0 98
XAV Score 40.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 34.8 25.0 / 48.0
Assists 21.2 / 15.2 16.0 / 31.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.5 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 42.1 36.0 / 60.0
Free Throw % 63.0 / 81.3 50.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 35.1 28.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.8 / 3.7 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 6.5 / 10.0 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
XAV Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
CREI
XAV
CREI
ML
58% 19-14
52% 17-16
72% 23-9
70% 21-9
ATS
73% 24-9
58% 19-14
72% 23-9
70% 21-9
TTL
39% 13-20
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 17 minutes ago
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 Big East Schedule Released: Key M…
yahoo 3 weeks, 3 days ago
From Critic to Teammate: Ex-Ole Miss Lineman Zxavian Harris Expe…
al 1 month, 2 weeks ago
UCLA's Tournament Ceiling Tied to Xavier Booker's Paint Presence
headtopics 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Filip Borovicanin commits to Xavier for 2026-27 after judge's ru…
cincinnati 2 months, 3 weeks ago