Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hoyas @ Golden Eagles GTWN @ MARQ

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

7-3  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Dec 17 • 8:30 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

5-6  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
HOYAS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Marquette)
HoyasGTWN (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hoyas Cover

46.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MARQ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)

GTWN By 1-7 points

24.3%

GTWN By 8-14 points

13.7%

MARQ By 1-7 points

26.2%

MARQ By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
39
GEORGETOWN
40
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
65
GEORGETOWN
78
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 79.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 MARQ @ GTWN 76 - 60
Dec 17, 2025 GTWN @ MARQ 78 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 MARQ @ GTWN 76 - 61
Jan 7, 2025 GTWN @ MARQ 66 - 74
Feb 3, 2024 MARQ @ GTWN 91 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.3% more
Marquette: 8.5 vs Georgetown: 5.8
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Marquette: 10.8 vs Georgetown: 9.8
Blocks (L5) +29.8% more
Georgetown: 3.5 vs Marquette: 2.5
Assists (L5) +15.2% more
Georgetown: 16.6 vs Marquette: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score 39.0 78
MARQ Score 40.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 28.6 27.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.1 / 16.6 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.5 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 38.4 / 44.0 42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 70.9 67.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 37.2 30.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.5 / 5.8 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 9.8 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
GTWN
MARQ
GTWN
ML
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
62% 20-12
73% 22-8
ATS
53% 17-15
58% 19-14
62% 20-12
73% 22-8
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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