AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
50%
CARDINALS
50%
JAGUARS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Lamar)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAM -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)
TASA By 1-7 points
0.2%
TASA By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAM By 1-7 points
1.7%
LAM By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M-San Antonio
68
TEXAS A&M-SAN ANTONIO
Lamar
96
LAMAR
Simulated Score
Texas A&M-San Antonio
58
TEXAS A&M-SAN ANTONIO
Lamar
92
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
164
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
TASA @ LAM
53 - 93
Dec 30, 2024
TASA @ LAM
65 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+243.7% more
Lamar: 5.7
vs
Texas A&M-San Antonio: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+37.9% more
Lamar: 6.4
vs
Texas A&M-San Antonio: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+26.5%
Lamar: 65.2%
vs
Texas A&M-San Antonio: 38.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+19.5% more
Lamar: 43.4
vs
Texas A&M-San Antonio: 36.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TASA Score
68.0
53
LAM Score
96.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 38.0
36.0 / 38.0
Assists
9.7 / 17.0
23.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.7 / 1.7
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.0 / 38.7
52.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 38.7
74.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 36.3
46.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.7
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 17.7
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TASA
--
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TASA
--
LAM
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TASA
--
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
TASA
LAM
TASA
ML
55%
16-13
--
0-0
59%
17-12
--
0-0
ATS
52%
15-14
--
0-0
60%
18-12
100%
2-0
TTL
72%
21-8
--
0-0
100%
30-0
100%
2-0