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MILLSAPS

MAJORSMIL

0-0  |  Road

76
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 3:00 PM ET
William R. Johnson Coliseum
View Odds Details →

STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

LUMBERJACKSSFA

1-0  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
MAJORS
100%
📊
LUMBERJACKS
0%
MAJORS --
LUMBERJACKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Stephen F. Austin)
MajorsMIL (-3.5) 0 LumberjacksSFA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Majors Cover

0.0%

Lumberjacks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SFA -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SFA)

MIL By 1-7 points

0.0%

MIL By 8-14 points

0.0%

SFA By 1-7 points

0.5%

SFA By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
57
MILLSAPS
90
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Simulated Score
52
MILLSAPS
98
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lumberjacks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lumberjacks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lumberjacks (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Lumberjacks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MIL @ SFA 76 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +107.7% more
Stephen F. Austin: 6.2 vs Millsaps: 3.0
Assists (L5) +28.7% more
Stephen F. Austin: 12.5 vs Millsaps: 9.7
Blocks (L5) +24.0% more
Stephen F. Austin: 3.7 vs Millsaps: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Stephen F. Austin: 30.1% vs Millsaps: 26.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 57.0 76
SFA Score 90.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 26.2 38.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.5 / 9.7 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.1 / 35.1 48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 67.2 56.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 37.3 50.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.2 / 3.0 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 21.9 7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
--
SFA Advantage
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
--
SFA Advantage
23-9-0 (71.9%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
--
SFA
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFA
MIL
SFA
MIL
ML
59% 17-12
100% 1-0
79% 23-6
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 17-12
100% 1-0
79% 23-6
100% 1-0
TTL
62% 18-11
100% 1-0
100% 29-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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