AI Model Win Probability
JOHNSON & WALES-CHARLOTTE
100%
KEYDETS
0%
JOHNSON & WALES-CHARLOTTE
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VMI -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
JWNC By 1-7 points
0.1%
JWNC By 8-14 points
0.0%
VMI By 1-7 points
0.8%
VMI By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Johnson & Wales (NC)
63
JOHNSON & WALES (NC)
VMI
94
VMI
Simulated Score
Johnson & Wales (NC)
58
JOHNSON & WALES (NC)
VMI
95
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Keydets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Keydets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Keydets (+28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Keydets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
JWNC @ VMI
58 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+272.8% more
VMI: 3.8
vs
Johnson & Wales (NC): 1.0
Steals (L5)
+13.3% more
VMI: 6.3
vs
Johnson & Wales (NC): 5.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
VMI: 44.9%
vs
Johnson & Wales (NC): 39.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
VMI: 76.3%
vs
Johnson & Wales (NC): 72.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JWNC Score
63.0
58
VMI Score
94.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 33.3
51.0 / 19.0
Assists
8.9 / 8.5
24.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 39.3
54.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 72.4
72.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 31.6
46.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.6
14.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 15.9
3.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JWNC
--
VMI
Advantage
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JWNC
--
VMI
Advantage
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
JWNC
--
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
JWNC
VMI
JWNC
ML
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
84%
27-5
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
84%
27-5
100%
1-0
TTL
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0