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FARMINGDALE STATE

RAMSFDSU

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 6:30 PM ET
Stony Brook Arena
View Odds Details →

STONY BROOK

SEAWOLVESSTBK

1-0  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
SEAWOLVES
0%
RAMS --
SEAWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Stony Brook)
RamsFDSU (-3.5) 0 SeawolvesSTBK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

0.0%

Seawolves Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)

FDSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

FDSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

STBK By 1-7 points

0.0%

STBK By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
51
FARMINGDALE STATE
94
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
55
FARMINGDALE STATE
85
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seawolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seawolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seawolves (+27.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim Seawolves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 FDSU @ STBK 59 - 66
Dec 29, 2021 FDSU @ STBK 57 - 87
Nov 11, 2019 FDSU @ STBK 44 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +41.3% more
Stony Brook: 10.8 vs Farmingdale State: 7.7
Field Goal % (L5) +12.9%
Stony Brook: 44.6% vs Farmingdale State: 31.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Stony Brook: 66.2% vs Farmingdale State: 55.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.2%
Stony Brook: 41.5% vs Farmingdale State: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FDSU Score 51.0 59
STBK Score 94.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 31.3 25.0 / 25.0
Assists 10.8 / 7.7 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.4 / 2.0 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 31.7 34.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 55.7 62.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 30.0 48.0 / 48.0
Steals 3.9 / 3.7 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 21.0 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDSU
--
STBK Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDSU
--
STBK Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FDSU
--
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
FDSU
STBK
FDSU
ML
61% 19-12
100% 1-0
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
ATS
61% 19-12
100% 1-0
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
TTL
65% 20-11
100% 1-0
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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