AI Model Win Probability
MIGHTY BANYANS
100%
EAGLES
0%
MIGHTY BANYANS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)
NCF By 1-7 points
0.0%
NCF By 8-14 points
0.0%
FGCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FGCU By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New College (FL)
45
NEW COLLEGE (FL)
Florida Gulf Coast
86
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
New College (FL)
48
NEW COLLEGE (FL)
Florida Gulf Coast
95
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
NCF @ FGCU
60 - 96
Dec 5, 2023
NCF @ FGCU
54 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+87.0% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 1.9
vs
New College (FL): 1.0
Rebounding (L5)
+34.4% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 40.8
vs
New College (FL): 30.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Florida Gulf Coast: 45.2%
vs
New College (FL): 36.3%
Steals (L5)
+32.1% more
New College (FL): 7.4
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NCF Score
45.0
60
FGCU Score
86.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 32.8
23.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.8 / 11.9
17.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.9 / 1.0
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 36.3
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
61.7 / 71.0
67.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 30.3
59.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.1 / 7.4
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.3
5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCF
--
FGCU
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCF
--
FGCU
Advantage
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NCF
--
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
NCF
FGCU
NCF
ML
58%
19-14
100%
2-0
67%
22-11
100%
2-0
ATS
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
67%
22-11
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
20-13
50%
1-1
100%
33-0
100%
2-0