Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Grizzlies @ Raiders FRKL @ WRST

FRANKLIN

GRIZZLIESFRKL

0-0  |  Road

37
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
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WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

1-0  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
GRIZZLIES --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-66.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +66.0 points (Wright State)
GrizzliesFRKL (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

0.0%

Raiders Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WRST -66.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

FRKL By 1-7 points

0.0%

FRKL By 8-14 points

0.0%

WRST By 1-7 points

0.0%

WRST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
43
FRANKLIN
109
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
55
FRANKLIN
98
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+157.5) Win
Proj Spread: -66.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 FRKL @ WRST 37 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +234.0% more
Wright State: 3.3 vs Franklin: 1.0
Assists (L5) +110.0% more
Wright State: 18.0 vs Franklin: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5) +45.3%
Wright State: 80.1% vs Franklin: 34.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +21.7%
Wright State: 53.2% vs Franklin: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FRKL Score 43.0 37
WRST Score 109.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 25.8 35.0 / 27.0
Assists 18.0 / 8.6 27.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 53.2 / 31.4 49.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 80.1 / 34.8 43.0 / 36.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 28.1 52.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.9 / 6.2 19.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 17.6 13.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FRKL
--
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FRKL
--
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FRKL
--
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
FRKL
WRST
FRKL
ML
37% 13-22
100% 1-0
63% 22-13
100% 1-0
ATS
46% 16-19
100% 1-0
63% 22-13
100% 1-0
TTL
63% 22-13
100% 1-0
100% 35-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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