RIVIER
RAIDERSRIV
0-0 | Road
55
UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
1-0 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
RIVER HAWKS
0%
RAIDERS
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
RIV By 1-7 points
0.0%
RIV By 8-14 points
0.0%
UML By 1-7 points
0.0%
UML By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rivier
47
RIVIER
UMass Lowell
102
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
Rivier
48
RIVIER
UMass Lowell
92
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u137.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
RIV @ UML
55 - 107
Nov 4, 2024
RIV @ UML
59 - 115
Nov 6, 2023
RIV @ UML
51 - 96
Nov 9, 2021
RIV @ UML
55 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+314.0% more
UMass Lowell: 3.6
vs
Rivier: 0.4
Assists (L5)
+113.1% more
UMass Lowell: 15.6
vs
Rivier: 7.3
Rebounding (L5)
+26.4% more
UMass Lowell: 31.6
vs
Rivier: 25.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+18.9%
UMass Lowell: 53.1%
vs
Rivier: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RIV Score
47.0
55
UML Score
102.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 24.4
44.0 / 19.0
Assists
15.6 / 7.3
21.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.6 / 0.4
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
53.1 / 34.2
60.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 67.1
75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 25.0
52.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 14.7
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RIV
--
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RIV
--
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RIV
--
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
RIV
UML
RIV
ML
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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